The LazyEdge Blog

Every week of the NFL season we publish a digest of the graded record: the pregame calls, THE PLAY, the live engine and the in-game edges, each beside the price the market showed. Between digests we write about how the numbers are built and how to read them.

• September 15, 20262026 NFL Week 1 Digest
  Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, graded: our pregame model picked 11 of 16 winners and the live engine scored a Brier of 0.140 against 0.158 for the market.

• The full graded record
• How the models work