NFL Results, Graded Game by Game

Every NFL number LazyEdge publishes is graded here as each game finishes, against the final score and against the price the market showed at the time.

What is graded

Our pregame winner, spread and total calls, THE PLAY for each game and the $5 paper ledger, the live win probability engine beside the market, every in-game edge and hot play, and the live player prop projections from kickoff to the end of the third quarter.

How to read it

A win rate means little without the price paid, so every rate sits beside the average price. Probability forecasts are scored with the Brier score, where lower is better. In-game returns are per one dollar contract after fees, held to the final or sold two, five or fifteen minutes later.

Open to everyone

The record is public and so is the data behind it: the same numbers are served by the LazyEdge API. One week is a small sample, so read each week as a record, not a verdict. This is data, not advice.