NBA Predictions Today
Three of tonight's NBA games are open to everyone: the three most traded on Kalshi, each with our winner, our win chance, the margin we project and the Kalshi price on that team. The rest of the slate is listed with our picks locked for members.
Our picks for November 12, 2026
The three most traded games of the four on the slate, by Kalshi moneyline volume, with our winner and the Kalshi price on that team.
| Game | Tip | Our winner | Win chance | Projected margin | Kalshi price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR at PHI | 7:00 PM ET | PHI | 63% | PHI by 4.8 | 71¢ |
| DAL at MIN | 8:00 PM ET | MIN | 62% | MIN by 4.7 | 67¢ |
| DET at WSH | 7:00 PM ET | DET | 83% | DET by 13.8 | 81¢ |
The rest of the slate
Our winner and win chance for this game are on the terminal for members.
| Game | Tip | Our winner |
|---|---|---|
| CHA at PHX | 9:00 PM ET | Members only |
Our NBA winners this season: 127 won, 42 lost, graded every morning on the results page.
How the three games are chosen
They are the games with the most moneyline contracts traded on Kalshi over the last day, so the open picks are the games most people are watching. The page is rebuilt every day after our numbers for the night are published.
What each number means
Our win chance is the last number our model published before the tip, the same one the terminal and the API show. The margin is how many points we project our winner to win by, and the Kalshi price is what a contract on that team costs, in cents, beside our chance.
Every pick is graded
Each pick is graded the morning after against the final score and beside the market favorite on the NBA results page, misses included. One night is a small sample, so read the season record rather than a single game. This is data, not advice.